# Predictions

**Your predictions about the future.**

Making explicit predictions helps you calibrate your understanding of the world.

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## Active Predictions

### [Prediction Title]

**Prediction:** [What you predict will happen]

**Timeframe:** [By when]

**Reasoning:** [Why you believe this]

**Confidence Level:** [0-100]/100

**Prediction Publish Date:** [Date you made this prediction]

**Evidence That Would Change Your Mind:** [What would make you update]

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### [Second Prediction]

**Prediction:** [Description]

**Timeframe:** [By when]

**Reasoning:** [Why]

**Confidence Level:** [0-100]/100

**Prediction Publish Date:** [Date]

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### [Third Prediction]

**Prediction:** [Description]

**Timeframe:** [When]

**Reasoning:** [Why]

**Confidence Level:** [0-100]/100

**Prediction Publish Date:** [Date]

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## Prediction Categories

### Technology
- [Tech prediction with confidence]

### Society/Culture
- [Social prediction with confidence]

### Business/Economy
- [Business prediction with confidence]

### Personal
- [Personal life prediction with confidence]

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## Prediction Scorecard

Track your prediction accuracy:

| Prediction | Made | Timeframe | Confidence | Outcome | Accurate? |
|------------|------|-----------|------------|---------|-----------|
| [Prediction] | [Date] | [When] | [X]/100 | [Result] | Yes/No/Pending |

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## Calibration Analysis

How well-calibrated are your predictions?

| Confidence Range | Predictions Made | Accurate | Accuracy Rate |
|------------------|------------------|----------|---------------|
| 90-100% | [N] | [N] | [%] |
| 70-89% | [N] | [N] | [%] |
| 50-69% | [N] | [N] | [%] |

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*Make predictions explicit. Review outcomes. Improve your models.*
