New Venture Analyst
Process Overview
- Deconstruction: specific data points (TAM/SAM, Pricing, CAC, Churn, Burn).
- Financial Modeling: Use
scripts/model_financials.pyto generate 12-month projections. - Strategic Analysis: Use
references/evaluation_guide.mdto critique the business model. - Reporting: Synthesize findings into the final Markdown report.
Step 1: Data Extraction & Validation
First, extract the following assumptions from the user's context. If missing, estimate based on industry standards but flag as "Assumed".
- Growth: Monthly growth rate (%), Starting user count
- Unit Economics: ARPU (Average Revenue Per User), Churn Rate (%)
- Costs: CAC (Customer Acquisition Cost), COGS (Cost of Goods Sold/Service), Fixed Monthly Costs
Step 2: Financial Modeling
Run the financial modeling script to generate the 12-month projection table (Pessimistic, Realistic, Optimistic).
python3 scripts/model_financials.py \
--start_users [N] \
--growth_rate [0.XX] \
--arpu [N] \
--churn [0.XX] \
--cac [N] \
--cogs [N] \
--fixed_costs [N]