aeon-reg-monitor
Regulatory intelligence for the stack pieces that get killed by a single rule change: prediction markets, agent-controlled wallets, stablecoins, MEV, AI compliance.
Sources
Federal Register, CFTC, SEC, FinCEN, EU Official Journal, ESMA, state AGs, court dockets via CourtListener. Industry counsel commentary as cross-reference only.
Output format
Items ranked by Stage × Impact. Final + Existential/High items lead. Rumor-stage items are included but visually separated.
FINAL × HIGH
CFTC no-action sunset for sports-event contracts — Mar 31
Affected: Kalshi sports markets, derived Polymarket clones
Action: unwind positions resolving after Mar 31 OR confirm continued no-action
Source: cftc.gov/PressReleases/...
COMMENT × HIGH
Treasury proposed rule on stablecoin reserve composition
Comment period closes Apr 14
Affected: USDC issuer reserve mix (commercial paper exposure)
Action: monitor; no immediate trade
RUMOR
ESMA reportedly weighing MiCAR Article-12 application to prediction markets
Single-source. Low confidence.
Action: no action yet — confirmation watch.
Rules
- Primary sources cited. "Reports indicate" without a filing or company post is rumor — flagged.
- Stage and confidence paired — high-impact + low-confidence rumors are flagged as both.
- Concrete operator action per item, or explicit "no action".
- No editorial commentary. Cited facts only.