forecast-premortem
Use to stress-test predictions by assuming they failed and working backward to identify why. Invoke when confidence is high (>80% or <20%), need to identify tail risks and unknown unknowns, or want to widen overconfident intervals. Use when user mentions premortem, backcasting, what could go wrong, stress test, or black swans.
roadmap-backcast
Use when planning with fixed deadline or target outcome, working backward from future goal to present, defining milestones and dependencies, mapping critical path, identifying what must happen when, planning product launches with hard dates, multi-year strategic roadmaps, event planning, transformation initiatives, or when user mentions "backcast", "work backward from", "reverse planning", "we need to launch by", "target date is", or "what needs to happen to reach".