Framework Detector
Multi-signal framework detection with confidence scoring for 6 major frameworks
bayesian-reasoning-calibration
Use when making predictions or judgments under uncertainty and need to explicitly update beliefs with new evidence. Invoke when forecasting outcomes, evaluating probabilities, testing hypotheses, calibrating confidence, assessing risks with uncertain data, or avoiding overconfidence bias. Use when user mentions priors, likelihoods, Bayes theorem, probability updates, forecasting, calibration, or belief revision.
fantasy-lineup-optimizer
Analyze matchups, injuries, weather, Vegas lines. Recommend sit/start decisions with confidence levels for NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, soccer.
bracket-predictor
March Madness, playoff brackets, tournament picks. Upset potential, chalk vs contrarian strategies, historical trends, confidence levels.
Confidence Honesty
Force honest confidence assessment before claiming conclusions. Triggers on 'root cause identified', 'problem identified', 'complete clarity'. Express confidence as percentage, explain what's stopping 100%, validate assumptions before presenting.
